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2024-12-13 10:23:55

Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)Trump said Bezos would visit him next week.Syrian Information Minister: Turkish Foreign Minister, Intelligence Minister and Qatar National Security Minister met with Syrian opposition leader Shara and caretaker Prime Minister Bashir in Damascus.


Bitcoin rose nearly $700 in the short term, with an increase of 0.5% in the day, and is now reported at $101,588/piece.Adobe(ADBE.O) fell by 12%, the biggest one-day drop since March 15th.The yield of German 10-year government bonds rose by 5 basis points to 2.18%, the highest level in two weeks.


Israeli Army Attacks Prime Minister Li in Southern Lebanon: A flagrant violation of the ceasefire agreement. On the 12th, local time, Lebanese caretaker Prime Minister Mikati issued a statement on Israel's attack on Shyam town, an important town in southern Lebanon. He said that less than 24 hours after the army began to deploy in Shyam and Magayoun to implement the ceasefire decision, Israel attacked Shyam town again, causing casualties. Mikati called the attack a flagrant violation of the ceasefire agreement and a violation of the commitments made by the United States and France as mediators. He called on these countries to clarify their positions on this incident and take immediate measures to curb Israel's aggression. Mikati said that the continuous violation of the ceasefire agreement is the responsibility of the monitoring committee responsible for monitoring the implementation of the ceasefire, and they must resolutely solve this problem and prevent such incidents from happening again. On the same day, Israeli drones attacked the town of Shyam, an important town in southern Lebanon. (CCTV News)On average, the patients who won the bid from more than 6 enterprises for each drug can use the tenth batch of products won by the state in April next year. The reporter learned from the National Medical Insurance Bureau that the tenth batch of centralized drug purchase organized by the state has produced the results of the proposed bid, and 62 drugs have been successfully purchased, all of which have passed the patent period, and are produced by many enterprises and fully competitive. A total of 385 products from 234 enterprises were qualified to be selected, and on average, more than 6 enterprises of each variety planned to win the bid. In April next year, patients can use the bid-winning products after the price reduction of this centralized purchase.The yield of Italian 10-year government bonds rose by 9 basis points to 3.28%, the highest level since December 2.

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